
Timing the Market: A New Lens for an Evolving Era
The S&P 500 is up 15.19% YTD through October 3rd. If you've been sitting on the sidelines waiting for better conditions or lower valuations, it's time for honest reflection. This post explores why traditional market-timing frameworks may no longer apply in an era where technology is fundamentally reshaping business economics. Drawing on insights from Jim Paulsen's "Fear Asset" thesis and Joseph Shaposhnik's framework for identifying decade-long compounders, I make the case that today's dominant tech companies aren't just momentum trades. They're businesses with structural advantages that justify their continued outperformance. The greatest risk may not be overvaluation, but sitting out a generational shift because you're measuring it with yesterday's yardsticks.
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